When the Minnesota Vikings completed their “competitive rebuild” process in 2024, a Super Bowl window, in theory, should’ve opened. Well, according to Bleacher Report, that window has already closed — and if so, wasn’t really ajar in the first place.
BR’s Brad Gagnon analyzed each NFL team’s current Super Bowl window, and for the Vikings, he essentially said the franchise is cooked.
Why Bleacher Report Thinks Minnesota’s Window Has Closed

BR: Vikings Super Bowl Window Is Closed
That’s a wrap for Minnesota’s Super Bowl aspirations, as Gagnon explained, “Minnesota Vikings: Closed. The talent is there at the skill positions, along the offensive line and on defense, but we need to see something from either Kyler Murray or J.J. McCarthy first.”
For context, Gagnon noted on the Green Bay Packers, “Green Bay Packers: 2-6 years. The 27-year-old Jordan Love is in his prime and under contract for the next few years, and the Packers are already a perennial playoff team.”
“They’re far from a crossroads, but things get tricky if they can’t deliver the next two years and Love is slated to count $74.2 million against the cap in 2028.”
And for Detroit: “Detroit Lions: 1-4 years. Jared Goff turns 32 this year, and the Lions have had no playoff success the last two seasons. Another failure could mark the end of the run, while a successful rebound could keep the window open into Goff’s mid-30s.”
The Roster — and Defense — Disagrees
A Super Bowl window remains open because of a trustworthy, borderline-elite defense, and the Vikings found theirs when Brian Flores arrived in 2023. While Kevin O’Connell’s first season delivered wins, drama, and last-minute heroics, Ed Donatell’s defense made every game a coin flip.
Flores then transformed the defense into the roster’s most reliable asset, a crucial development, especially for Kyler Murray, who signed on Minnesota’s dotted line if free agency three months ago.
Murray’s tenure in Arizona often saw him compensating for subpar situations. Defenses were rarely more than adequate, and his supporting cast inconsistently matched his talent. Now, imagine him in Minnesota: Flores’ defense, O’Connell’s play-calling, Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson, and a solid offensive line. Suddenly, an 8.5-win projection seems conservative.
Last year, the Vikings won nine games with a comparable roster and less consistent quarterback play. While losing Jonathan Greenard to Philadelphia stings, Murray offers a significant boost in offensive efficiency. His career EPA+CPOE metrics rival those of Baker Mayfield, Trevor Lawrence, Daniel Jones, and C.J. Stroud.
If the prospect of Mayfield or Lawrence in Minnesota excites fans, Murray should at least spark serious consideration. The Super Bowl window remains open if Murray returns to form and the defense maintains its high standard. The playmakers are in place, the coaching is solid, and the roster is competitive.
It’s just up to the quarterback to deliver.
All Up to Murray — and Maybe McCarthy
Of course, if Murray simply doesn’t click in O’Connell’s system, all bets are off. Murray has been in the NFL for seven seasons and has worked with two different offenses. He should be able to “figure it out” with experience in his toolkit.

If he falters, the Vikings won’t hesitate to pass the baton to McCarthy, who’s hungry to resume his development and maturation after a rollercoaster 2025 campaign. In fact, Minnesota is hosting a quarterback battle this summer between Murray and McCarthy. May the best man win.
If both men falter — yes, Minnesota will be back to square one, probably eyeing the 2027 NFL Draft for a new quarterback of the future. The class is trending toward being remarkably deep for that project, if so.
A New GM if BR Is Right
Incidentally, Minnesota hired a new general manager last week, so if Gagnon is correct about a closed Super Bowl window, the Vikings already have a jump on the next step. They won’t have to sack the front office and scratch their heads. Nolan Teasley has already joined the franchiase and will lead the club into the future.

While it’s unclear what quarterback strategy Teasley would pursue, it’s a reasonable bet to assume he’d explore all options, including the aforementioned 2027 rookie class.
But that’s only if Murray and McCarthy utterly stink.
Vegas expects Minnesota to win eight or nine games in 2026 — the same forecast was made before the 2024 campaign when Minnesota ripped off 14 wins under the stewardship of Sam Darnold. They’re also slated to finish in last place in the NFC North, according to sportsbooks.